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Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Q+A: Why is China opposed to upping pressure on Iran?

Mon Sep 28, 2009 12:55pm EDT

BEIJING (Reuters) - China has expressed concern about Iran's disclosure that it is building a second uranium enrichment plant but urged that an escalating row be resolved by talks, as Western nations try to increase pressure on Tehran.

Below are some questions and answers about why China is so ambivalent about international pressure on Iran.

WHY IS CHINA RELUCTANT TO BACK SANCTIONS?

China has long said it sticks to a doctrine of "non interference" in the affairs of other nations, partly because it does not want the United States or Europe criticizing its behavior or policies.

It is also wary of signing up to multilateral efforts to pressure individual countries, for similar reasons, except in cases such as North Korea which presents a pressing security concern close to home.

In fact, China does meddle in domestic politics abroad, most often when it involves its long-standing fight to build diplomatic ties with countries that recognize the self-ruled island of Taiwan, claimed by Beijing as its own.

WHAT WILL THIS MEAN FOR U.N. EFFORTS TO PRESSURE TEHRAN?

China is a permanent member of the Security Council, so it has a veto on any potential resolution to censure Iran or ratchet up sanctions. While Beijing often abstains from votes on decisions it disapproves of, it is also willing to use its veto.

If Beijing threatens to block a resolution, Western nations that want to increase pressure on Tehran through sanctions or other methods might be forced to act unsupported by the authority of the United Nations.

Alternatively, they would have to wait for something that Beijing considers a more severe provocation.

WHAT TRADE AND BUSINESS TIES DO THE TWO COUNTRIES HAVE?

Growing energy ties bind China, the world's No. 2 crude oil consumer, and Iran, which has the world's second-largest crude oil reserves but desperately needs investment to develop them.

Tehran has turned to Asian firms for energy investment as Western firms succumb to political pressure. Iranian oil made up nearly 12 percent of China's crude imports last year.

Chinese state companies are also selling gasoline to Iran, which despite its huge crude reserves lacks the refining capacity to meet domestic fuel demand. They stepped into a vacuum left by sellers who halted supplies in anticipation of new sanctions.

Both countries also resent Western criticism of their human rights records, which they condemn as unjustified and politically motivated.

WHY WAS CHINA PREPARED TO BACK SANCTIONS ON NORTH KOREA?

North Korea is on China's border and has hovered at the brink of economic collapse for over a decade. Any disintegration of the regime could spill instability into China.

By contrast, Iran is an important trade partner several thousand kilometers away, with a damaged but functioning economy.

In addition, Pyongyang has twice tested a nuclear device and may have extracted enough plutonium for six to eight bombs.

Tehran says its nuclear program is for peaceful power generation only. Even if this is not true, Iran's scientists are still several steps away from a potential nuclear weapon.

IS CHINA LIKELY TO STICK TO ITS CURRENT POSITION?

China's leaders will probably bide their time to see how Iran responds to current pressure, whether any further evidence is laid out that would point to nuclear weapons plans, and whether Russia lines up with Western members of the U.N. Security Council. Beijing might ultimately be willing to intervene to prevent Iran developing a nuclear weapon because of fears about a Middle East arms race or worries about global proliferation.

(Reporting by Emma Graham-Harrison, Editing by Dean Yates)

© Thomson Reuters 2009. All rights reserved

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